In this chapter, we will describe and analyze the 1)
nuclear weapons capabilities and technologies, 2) development and
acquisition plans and programs, and 3) statements on strategy and goals,
for the following eight countries: Pakistan, Iraq, Iran,
Libya, Syria, Egypt, Saudi Arabia
and Algeria.
For each country, we will present information based
on a detailed study of the sources, including US government and other
official reports, the academic literature, and press reports. The country
assessments will also include analysis of technological acquisitions
(including dual-use systems, materials, and facilities), delivery systems
such as ballistic missiles, and cooperation with third countries,
including Russia, China, and North Korea.
On this basis, the implications of the proliferation
of nuclear weapons and technology in the Arab and Islamic world will be
analyzed. In the case of Pakistan, this section will focus on the impact
of the nuclear weapons capability on the balance of power in the region
(including the Persian Gulf), on the nuclear ambitions and programs of the
other states in the region, and the potential for transfer of technology
and experienced personnel. Regarding the Iraqi and Iranian nuclear
acquisition programs, we will examine the security implications for the
region (including Israel), and for future deployment of US and NATO forces
and interests in the region. We will also consider the implications of the
accelerating nuclear proliferation process in this region for European
security interests.
