US President Bush presented his
Reagan-style worldview in his June 28, 2005 speech to the nation: No
“disengagement” (retreat) from – but a decisive offensive on – terrorism, on
the terrorists own breeding grounds.
In word and deed, Bush has put forth an
expanded version of Reagan’s 1986 attack on Qadaffi’s political, economic
and military infrastructure.
In contrast to his father, the
President’s worldview is influenced by lessons learned from previous US
“disengagements” (retreats) in 1979 (following the US Teheran embassy
takeover by terrorists), in 1983 (following the murder of 300 Americans in
Lebanon by Hizbullah terrorists) and in 1993 (following the lynching of US
Marines by Muslim terrorists in Somalia).
These “disengagements” fueled anti-US
Islamic terrorism, resulting in major terror attacks on US targets in 1993
(Twin Towers #1), 1995/6 (murdering US GIs in Saudi Arabia), 1998 (blowing
up the US embassies in Kenya and Tanzania) and 2000 (murdering 17 sailors of
the USS Cole in Aden) and culminating on 9/11 (Twin Towers #2).
Bush is determined to avoid Clinton’s
mistakes. The latter chose to “disengage” from terror centers, made due with
targeted, limited attacks on terrorist bases, and tried to enage in a
dialogue and ceasefires with terrorist-sponsoring regimes.
Clinton’s disengagement from a head-on
confrontation with terrorists facilitated terrorists’ engagement with US
population centers.
Bush’s worldview is influenced by both
his Texas state-of-mind and by his religious values. Contrary to his father,
the Connecticut aristocrat, Bush is loyal to the Texas colloquialism: “You
don’t disengage from the horse, precisely when the horse is bucking.” Bush
admires Moses, Joshua and Caleb, and is critical of the vacillation
displayed by the ten other biblical spies who were intimidated by the
nations of Canaan, and who proposed “disengagement” from the Promised Land.
To Bush – and to Vice President Dick
Cheney, the cowboy and historian from Wyoming – a “disengagement” from
terror would be a blow to their values and state-of-mind. “Disengagement”
from terrorism is opposed to Bush’s struggle of good against evil, freedom
versus tyranny, truth in face of lies.
In his June 28 speech, Bush has put
forward a worldview fundamentally opposed to the “disengagement” plan: “The
proper response [to terrorism] is not retreat, it is courage... They think
that they can force us to re treat; they are mistaken... We either deal with
terrorism abroad, or we deal with them when it comes to us...”
Therefore, the US would not fund
“disengagement”, an initiative that would cost the Israeli tax payer at
least NIS $3.5BN (half annual defense budget!).
Therefore, Bush is not committed to
reward Israel for “disengagement”, but has only issued a friendly, ambiguous
and a non-binding statement (April 2004).
Therefore, Bush did not initiate
“disengagement”, but rather accepted it after four months of pressure by
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon (with the urging of the State Department, in
order to prevent a political entanglement with Israel’s friends in the US in
the months leading up to the 2004 presidential election).
Therefore, Vice President Cheney,
Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld, and Congressional leaders are skeptic about
“disengagement”.
Therefore, the President and Congress
will not go to the wall should Israel call off “disengagement”. They will
make do with short-term pressure, which will be dwarfed compared to the
brutal pressure that failed to move all Israeli prime ministers from 1948 to
1992.
In 1981, Reagan imposed a four-month
arms embargo on Israel, following Israel’s destruction of Iraq’s Osirak
nuclear reactor. However, following the short-term crisis, Israel benefited
from a significant strategic cooperation that persists to this day.
President Bush has learned from
Reagan’s errors (“disengagement” from Lebanon in 1983), and has stood fast
and strong in Afghanistan and Iraq, opposing “disengagement” from terrorist
strongholds there. Bush admires Israeli democracy, which – like its US
sister – provides checks and balances, in oreder to prevent a tyranny by the
Executive.
Does Sharon share the same traits?